Propylaea quatuordecimpunctata
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 3 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Fertő-Hanság National Park | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 5 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 6 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 7 | Acadia National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 8 | Shenandoah National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 9 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Bishkek | 🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan | |
| 5 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Brussels | 🇧🇪 Belgium | |
| 7 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 8 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 9 | Warsaw | 🇵🇱 Poland | |
| 10 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Fourteen-Spotted Lady Beetle sighting in Warsaw on a given day, based on 93 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 28th most-seen of the 580 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Fourteen-Spotted Lady Beetle in Warsaw on a given day, against under 5% in October to March, the lowest months. That is one of Warsaw's wettest months, with about 75 mm of rain against 40 mm in February.
Between 1 and 4 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Fourteen-Spotted Lady Beetle sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
9th of 52
Of the 52 cities where we can rate Fourteen-Spotted Lady Beetle sightings, Warsaw ranks 9th at about 20%. The best odds are in Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 30%), Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%) and London (United Kingdom, about 20%).
Same family: Coccinellidae
The closest relatives of the Fourteen-Spotted Lady Beetle that you can see in Warsaw (family Coccinellidae, Lady Beetles) are Asian Lady Beetle (about 40%), Seven-Spotted Lady Beetle (about 30%) and 22-Spot Ladybird (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Fourteen-Spotted Lady Beetle is recorded against all the insects logged in Warsaw (93 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
