What are the chances of seeing a Falco atricapillus in Elk Island National Park?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Falco atricapillus sighting in Elk Island National Park on a given day, based on 18 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 140th most-seen of the 161 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to under 5%, and over a week to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Falco atricapillus in Elk Island National Park?
February and December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Falco atricapillus in Elk Island National Park on a given day, against under 5% in January and March–November, the lowest months. Those are among Elk Island National Park's driest months, with about 20 mm of rain a month against 110 mm in June.
Is Elk Island National Park the best place to see a Falco atricapillus?
8th of 21
Of the 21 parks where we can rate Falco atricapillus sightings, Elk Island National Park ranks 8th at under 5%. The best odds are in Wrangell-St. Elias National Park (United States, about 10%), Katmai National Park (United States, about 10%) and Denali National Park (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Falco atricapillus sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Falco atricapillus is recorded against all the birds logged in Elk Island National Park (18 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.