What are the chances of seeing a Merlin in Elk Island National Park?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Merlin sighting in Elk Island National Park on a given day, based on 33 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 118th most-seen of the 161 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Merlin in Elk Island National Park?
July to September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Merlin in Elk Island National Park on a given day, against under 5% in October to June, the lowest months. Those are among Elk Island National Park's wettest months, with about 80 mm of rain a month against 20 mm in December.
What time of day is best to see a Merlin?
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Merlin sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Elk Island National Park the best place to see a Merlin?
33rd of 82
Of the 82 parks where we can rate Merlin sightings, Elk Island National Park ranks 33rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Riding Mountain National Park (Canada, about 20%), Denali National Park (United States, about 20%) and Katmai National Park (United States, about 10%).
Where does the Merlin sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Merlin is recorded against all the birds logged in Elk Island National Park (33 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.