Eudonia mercurella
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Eudonia mercurella is a species of moth of the family Crambidae. It is found in Europe, western China, Iran, Lebanon, Turkey, and north-western Africa. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 2 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 3 | Mercantour National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 4 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 6 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 7 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 8 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Dublin | 🇮🇪 Ireland | |
| 4 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal | |
| 5 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 6 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 7 | Munich | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 8 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 9 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 10 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Small Grey sighting in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 347th most-seen of the 1115 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and July–August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Small Grey in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, against under 5% in June and September–April, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Small Grey sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Among the best
Of the 8 parks where we can rate Small Grey sightings, Bavarian Forest National Park ranks 6th at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Sierra Nevada National Park (Spain, about 10%), Cévennes National Park (France, about 10%) and Mercantour National Park (France, about 10%).
Same genus: Eudonia
The closest relatives of the Small Grey that you can see in Bavarian Forest National Park (genus Eudonia) are Little Grey (about 10%) and Ground-Moss Grey (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Small Grey is recorded against all the insects logged in Bavarian Forest National Park (16 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
