What are the chances of seeing a Common Emerald in Manchester?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Common Emerald sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 207th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Common Emerald in Manchester?
June and July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Common Emerald in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in August to May, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Common Emerald?
Between 11 pm and 2 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Common Emerald sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Is Manchester the best place to see a Common Emerald?
Among the best
Of the 15 cities where we can rate Common Emerald sightings, Manchester ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Kharkiv (Ukraine, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Common Emerald live in Manchester?
Same family: Geometridae
The closest relatives of the Common Emerald that you can see in Manchester (family Geometridae, Geometer Moths) are Riband Wave (about 20%), Willow Beauty (about 10%) and Garden Carpet (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Common Emerald sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Common Emerald is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.