Calliteara pudibunda
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Calliteara pudibunda, the pale tussock, is a moth of the family Erebidae. The Dutch common name for the moth (Meriansborstel) comes from the butterfly and insect painter Maria Sibylla Merian. The species was first described by Carl Linnaeus in his 1758 10th edition of Systema Naturae. It is found in Asia and Europe.
Calliteara pudibunda is a pest of European beech forests (Fagus sylvatica). The mix of tree species impacts the moths; they react very sensitively to the occurrence of a small portion of spruce trees within beech stands.
The wingspan is 40–60 mm. Female: Forewing greyish white dusted with dark, and bearing dark wavy transverse lines edged with pure white on the inner side. Hindwing white with indication of a dark submarginal band. Male: Forewing olive grey with black median area and darker indistinct slightly wavy transverse lines in the marginal and basal areas. Hindwing greyish yellow, with a transverse band which is slightly more distinct than in the female, and sometimes forms an elbowed anal. Form juglandis Hübner is divergent in the male, being distinguished by a greyish-white head and thorax (in typical specimens this is... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Biebrza National Park | 🇵🇱 Poland | |
| 3 | Triglav National Park | 🇸🇮 Slovenia | |
| 4 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 5 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 6 | Białowieża National Park | 🇵🇱 Poland | |
| 7 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 8 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kharkiv | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | |
| 2 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 5 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 7 | Cologne | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 8 | Stockholm | 🇸🇪 Sweden | |
| 9 | Hamburg | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 10 | Essen | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Pale Tussock Moth sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 37 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 116th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
October
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report a Pale Tussock Moth in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in July–August and November–February, the lowest months.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Pale Tussock Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
2nd of 26
Of the 26 cities where we can rate Pale Tussock Moth sightings, Manchester ranks 2nd at about 10%. The best odds are in Kharkiv (Ukraine, about 20%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Pale Tussock Moth that you can see in Manchester (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Cinnabar Moth (about 40%), Rusty Tussock Moth (about 20%) and Straw Dot (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Pale Tussock Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (37 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
