Leptotes marina
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~60%
Leptotes marina, the marine blue or striped blue, is a butterfly of the family Lycaenidae. It is found in North America and Central America. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Bend National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Saguaro National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Joshua Tree National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Guadalupe Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Channel Islands National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Grand Canyon National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Death Valley National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 8 | Bahía de Loreto National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico | |
| 9 | Zion National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 10 | Sequoia and Kings Canyon National Parks | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 11 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Juárez | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | Mesa | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 4 | San Diego | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Phoenix | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Los Angeles | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Tijuana | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 8 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 9 | Toluca | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 10 | Torreón | 🇲🇽 México |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Marine Blue sighting in Mexico City on a given day, based on 429 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 26th most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and October–December
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Marine Blue in Mexico City on a given day, against about 10% in January–March and May–September, the lowest months. Those are among Mexico City's driest months, with about 30 mm of rain a month against 150 mm in July.
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Marine Blue sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
3rd of 20
Of the 20 cities where we can rate Marine Blue sightings, Mexico City ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Ciudad Juárez (México, about 20%) and Mesa (United States, about 20%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Marine Blue is recorded against all the insects logged in Mexico City (429 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
