What are the chances of seeing a Black-throated Blue Warbler in San Francisco?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-throated Blue Warbler sighting in San Francisco on a given day, based on 26 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 156th most-seen of the 375 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Black-throated Blue Warbler in San Francisco?
October
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black-throated Blue Warbler in San Francisco on a given day, against under 5% in November to September, the lowest months. That is one of San Francisco's driest months, with about 25 mm of rain against 110 mm in December.
What time of day is best to see a Black-throated Blue Warbler?
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Black-throated Blue Warbler sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is San Francisco the best place to see a Black-throated Blue Warbler?
16th of 23
Of the 23 cities where we can rate Black-throated Blue Warbler sightings, San Francisco ranks 16th at under 5%. The best odds are in Miami (United States, about 20%), New York City (United States, about 10%) and Havana (Cuba, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Black-throated Blue Warbler live in San Francisco?
Same genus: Setophaga
The closest relatives of the Black-throated Blue Warbler that you can see in San Francisco (genus Setophaga, Setophaga Warblers) are Yellow-rumped Warbler (about 40%), Townsend's Warbler (about 20%) and Northern Yellow Warbler (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Black-throated Blue Warbler sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-throated Blue Warbler is recorded against all the birds logged in San Francisco (26 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.