Utetheisa pulchella
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gonarezhou National Park | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | |
| 2 | Ankarafantsika National Park | 🇲🇬 Madagascar | |
| 3 | Gorongosa National Park | 🇲🇿 Mozambique | |
| 4 | Doñana National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 5 | South Luangwa National Park | 🇿🇲 Zambia | |
| 6 | Kgalagadi Transfrontier Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 7 | Namib-Naukluft National Park | 🇳🇦 Namibia | |
| 8 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 9 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 10 | Camargue | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 11 | iSimangaliso Wetland Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 12 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 13 | Addo Elephant National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 14 | Garden Route National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 15 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 16 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Crimson-Speckled Flunkey sighting in Jerusalem on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 66th most-seen of the 137 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and August
In those months about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Crimson-Speckled Flunkey in Jerusalem on a given day, against under 5% in June–July and September–March, the lowest months. Those are among Jerusalem's driest months, with about 10 mm of rain a month against 90 mm in January.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Crimson-Speckled Flunkey sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
12th of 19
Of the 19 cities where we can rate Crimson-Speckled Flunkey sightings, Jerusalem ranks 12th at about 10%. The best odds are in Kuwait City (Kuwait, about 40%), Antalya (Turkey, about 30%) and Tel Aviv (Israel, about 20%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Crimson-Speckled Flunkey that you can see in Jerusalem (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Cymbalophora oertzeni (about 10%) and Brown Triangle Snout (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Crimson-Speckled Flunkey is recorded against all the insects logged in Jerusalem (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
