What are the chances of seeing a Mottled Umber in Manchester?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Mottled Umber sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 346th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Mottled Umber in Manchester?
May and October–November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Mottled Umber in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in June–September and December–April, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Mottled Umber?
Between 1 and 4 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Mottled Umber sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Manchester the best place to see a Mottled Umber?
22nd of 25
Of the 25 cities where we can rate Mottled Umber sightings, Manchester ranks 22nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Vienna (Austria, about 20%), Kharkiv (Ukraine, about 10%) and Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Mottled Umber live in Manchester?
Same family: Geometridae
The closest relatives of the Mottled Umber that you can see in Manchester (family Geometridae, Geometer Moths) are Riband Wave (about 20%), Willow Beauty (about 10%) and Garden Carpet (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Mottled Umber sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Mottled Umber is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.