Leptotes marina
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Leptotes marina, the marine blue or striped blue, is a butterfly of the family Lycaenidae. It is found in North America and Central America. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Bend National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Saguaro National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Joshua Tree National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Guadalupe Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Channel Islands National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Grand Canyon National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Death Valley National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 8 | Bahía de Loreto National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico | |
| 9 | Zion National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 10 | Sequoia and Kings Canyon National Parks | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 11 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Juárez | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | Mesa | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 4 | San Diego | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Phoenix | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Los Angeles | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Tijuana | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 8 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 9 | Toluca | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 10 | Torreón | 🇲🇽 México |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Marine Blue sighting in Toluca on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 40th most-seen of the 70 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Marine Blue in Toluca on a given day, against under 5% in May–June, August–September and December–March, the lowest months. That is one of Toluca's driest months, with about 20 mm of rain against 150 mm in July.
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Marine Blue sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
9th of 20
Of the 20 cities where we can rate Marine Blue sightings, Toluca ranks 9th at about 10%. The best odds are in Ciudad Juárez (México, about 20%), Mesa (United States, about 20%) and Mexico City (México, about 10%).
Same family: Lycaenidae
The closest relatives of the Marine Blue that you can see in Toluca (family Lycaenidae, Gossamer-winged Butterflies) are Xami Hairstreak (about 30%) and Spring Azure (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Marine Blue is recorded against all the insects logged in Toluca (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
