Tirumala petiverana
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
Tirumala petiverana, the blue monarch, is a butterfly of the family Nymphalidae. It is widespread in tropical and subtropical Sub-Saharan Africa. Their habitat consists of Afromontane, lowland and riverine forests as well as moist savanna.
The wingspan is 60–75 mm. There is one generation per year. Adults are on wing from February to May (with peaks in April) in Zimbabwe. The larvae feed on Pergularia extensa, Pergularia daemia, Daemia, Hoya, and Marsdenia rubicunda.
Seitz, A. Die Gross-Schmetterlinge der Erde 13: Die Afrikanischen Tagfalter. Plate XIII 25 Wikipedia →
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kigali | 🇷🇼 Rwanda | |
| 2 | San José | 🇨🇷 Costa Rica | |
| 3 | San Pedro Sula | 🇭🇳 Honduras | |
| 4 | San Salvador | 🇸🇻 El Salvador | |
| 5 | Nairobi | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 6 | Panama City | 🇵🇦 Panama |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Blue Monarch sighting in San Pedro Sula on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 44th most-seen of the 79 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report a Blue Monarch in San Pedro Sula on a given day, against under 5% in March, May, July and September–January, the lowest months. That is one of San Pedro Sula's driest months, with about 45 mm of rain against 190 mm in October.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Blue Monarch sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
3rd of 6
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Blue Monarch sightings, San Pedro Sula ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Kigali (Rwanda, about 20%) and San José (Costa Rica, about 20%).
Same family: Nymphalidae
The closest relatives of the Blue Monarch that you can see in San Pedro Sula (family Nymphalidae, Brush-footed Butterflies) are Banded Peacock (about 30%), White Peacock (about 30%) and Julia Heliconian (about 30%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Blue Monarch is recorded against all the insects logged in San Pedro Sula (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
