What are the chances of seeing a Blacksmith Lapwing in Lake Manyara National Park?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Blacksmith Lapwing sighting in Lake Manyara National Park on a given day, based on 40 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 127th most-seen of the 307 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Blacksmith Lapwing in Lake Manyara National Park?
June and September
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Blacksmith Lapwing in Lake Manyara National Park on a given day, against under 5% in March and October–November, the lowest months. Those are among Lake Manyara National Park's driest months, with about 15 mm of rain a month against 260 mm in April.
What time of day is best to see a Blacksmith Lapwing?
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Blacksmith Lapwing sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Lake Manyara National Park the best place to see a Blacksmith Lapwing?
32nd of 39
Of the 39 parks where we can rate Blacksmith Lapwing sightings, Lake Manyara National Park ranks 32nd at about 10%. The best odds are in Etosha National Park (Namibia, about 80%), Moremi Game Reserve (Botswana, about 80%) and Chobe National Park (Botswana, about 80%). All parks ranked.
Which relatives of the Blacksmith Lapwing live in Lake Manyara National Park?
Same genus: Vanellus
The closest relatives of the Blacksmith Lapwing that you can see in Lake Manyara National Park (genus Vanellus, Lapwings) are Spur-winged Lapwing (about 10%) and Crowned Lapwing (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Blacksmith Lapwing sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Blacksmith Lapwing is recorded against all the birds logged in Lake Manyara National Park (40 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.