What are the chances of seeing a Western Marsh-Harrier in Lake Nakuru National Park?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Western Marsh-Harrier sighting in Lake Nakuru National Park on a given day, based on 34 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 246th most-seen of the 369 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Western Marsh-Harrier in Lake Nakuru National Park?
January and February
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Western Marsh-Harrier in Lake Nakuru National Park on a given day, against under 5% in March to December, the lowest months. Those are among Lake Nakuru National Park's driest months, with about 30 mm of rain a month against 120 mm in April.
What time of day is best to see a Western Marsh-Harrier?
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Western Marsh-Harrier sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Lake Nakuru National Park the best place to see a Western Marsh-Harrier?
24th of 40
Of the 40 parks where we can rate Western Marsh-Harrier sightings, Lake Nakuru National Park ranks 24th at under 5%. The best odds are in Hortobágy National Park (Hungary, about 80%), Kiskunság National Park (Hungary, about 70%) and Fertő-Hanság National Park (Hungary, about 70%). All parks ranked.
Where does the Western Marsh-Harrier sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Western Marsh-Harrier is recorded against all the birds logged in Lake Nakuru National Park (34 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.