What are the chances of seeing a Western Marsh-Harrier in Istanbul?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Western Marsh-Harrier sighting in Istanbul on a given day, based on 446 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 52nd most-seen of the 233 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Western Marsh-Harrier in Istanbul?
August
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Western Marsh-Harrier in Istanbul on a given day, against under 5% in June, the lowest month. That is one of Istanbul's driest months, with about 30 mm of rain against 90 mm in December.
What time of day is best to see a Western Marsh-Harrier?
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Western Marsh-Harrier sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Istanbul the best place to see a Western Marsh-Harrier?
11th of 82
Of the 82 cities where we can rate Western Marsh-Harrier sightings, Istanbul ranks 11th at about 10%. The best odds are in Vasai-Virar (India, about 50%), Rabat (Morocco, about 20%) and Luxor (Egypt, about 20%).
Where does the Western Marsh-Harrier sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Western Marsh-Harrier is recorded against all the birds logged in Istanbul (446 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.