What are the chances of seeing a Northern Wheatear in Jerusalem?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Northern Wheatear sighting in Jerusalem on a given day, based on 40 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 132nd most-seen of the 192 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to under 5%, and over a week to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Northern Wheatear in Jerusalem?
October
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Northern Wheatear in Jerusalem on a given day, against under 5% in November to September, the lowest months. That is one of Jerusalem's driest months, with about 15 mm of rain against 90 mm in January.
What time of day is best to see a Northern Wheatear?
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Northern Wheatear sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Jerusalem the best place to see a Northern Wheatear?
31st of 37
Of the 37 cities where we can rate Northern Wheatear sightings, Jerusalem ranks 31st at under 5%. The best odds are in Ulaanbaatar (Mongolia, about 30%), Novosibirsk (Russia, about 10%) and Sincan (Turkey, about 10%).
Where does the Northern Wheatear sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Northern Wheatear is recorded against all the birds logged in Jerusalem (40 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.