Marpesia chiron
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Marpesia chiron, the many-banded daggerwing, is a species of daggerwings, map butterflies in the family Nymphalidae. It is found in Central America, North America, and South America. The MONA or Hodges number for Marpesia chiron is 4549. Wikipedia →
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Pedro Sula | 🇭🇳 Honduras | |
| 2 | Salvador | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 3 | Vitória | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 4 | San Salvador | 🇸🇻 El Salvador | |
| 5 | Rio de Janeiro | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 6 | Panama City | 🇵🇦 Panama | |
| 7 | Belo Horizonte | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 8 | Caracas | 🇻🇪 Venezuela | |
| 9 | São Paulo | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 10 | San José | 🇨🇷 Costa Rica |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Many-Banded Daggerwing sighting in Rio de Janeiro on a given day, based on 18 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 40th most-seen of the 169 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Many-Banded Daggerwing in Rio de Janeiro on a given day, against under 5% in March and December, the lowest months. That is one of Rio de Janeiro's driest months, with about 70 mm of rain against 230 mm in December.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Many-Banded Daggerwing sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
5th of 11
Of the 11 cities where we can rate Many-Banded Daggerwing sightings, Rio de Janeiro ranks 5th at about 10%. The best odds are in San Pedro Sula (Honduras, about 20%), Salvador (Brazil, about 10%) and Vitória (Brazil, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Many-Banded Daggerwing is recorded against all the insects logged in Rio de Janeiro (18 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
