Marpesia chiron
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Marpesia chiron, the many-banded daggerwing, is a species of daggerwings, map butterflies in the family Nymphalidae. It is found in Central America, North America, and South America. The MONA or Hodges number for Marpesia chiron is 4549. Wikipedia →
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Pedro Sula | 🇭🇳 Honduras | |
| 2 | Salvador | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 3 | Vitória | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 4 | San Salvador | 🇸🇻 El Salvador | |
| 5 | Rio de Janeiro | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 6 | Panama City | 🇵🇦 Panama | |
| 7 | Belo Horizonte | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 8 | Caracas | 🇻🇪 Venezuela | |
| 9 | São Paulo | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 10 | San José | 🇨🇷 Costa Rica |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Many-Banded Daggerwing sighting in San Salvador on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 26th most-seen of the 72 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Many-Banded Daggerwing in San Salvador on a given day, against under 5% in January–February, April, July and September–November, the lowest months. That is one of San Salvador's wettest months, with about 250 mm of rain against almost none in January.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Many-Banded Daggerwing sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
4th of 11
Of the 11 cities where we can rate Many-Banded Daggerwing sightings, San Salvador ranks 4th at about 10%. The best odds are in San Pedro Sula (Honduras, about 20%), Salvador (Brazil, about 10%) and Vitória (Brazil, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Many-Banded Daggerwing is recorded against all the insects logged in San Salvador (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
