What are the chances of seeing a Black-naped Monarch in Vasai-Virar?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-naped Monarch sighting in Vasai-Virar on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 154th most-seen of the 217 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Black-naped Monarch in Vasai-Virar?
November
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black-naped Monarch in Vasai-Virar on a given day, against under 5% in December to October, the lowest months. That is one of Vasai-Virar's driest months, with about 15 mm of rain against 840 mm in July.
What time of day is best to see a Black-naped Monarch?
Between 4 and 7 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Black-naped Monarch sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
Is Vasai-Virar the best place to see a Black-naped Monarch?
22nd of 37
Of the 37 cities where we can rate Black-naped Monarch sightings, Vasai-Virar ranks 22nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Kaohsiung (Taiwan, about 40%), Taichung (Taiwan, about 20%) and Ho Chi Minh City (Vietnam, about 20%).
Where does the Black-naped Monarch sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-naped Monarch is recorded against all the birds logged in Vasai-Virar (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.