Marpesia chiron
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
Marpesia chiron, the many-banded daggerwing, is a species of daggerwings, map butterflies in the family Nymphalidae. It is found in Central America, North America, and South America. The MONA or Hodges number for Marpesia chiron is 4549. Wikipedia →
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Pedro Sula | 🇭🇳 Honduras | |
| 2 | Salvador | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 3 | Vitória | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 4 | San Salvador | 🇸🇻 El Salvador | |
| 5 | Rio de Janeiro | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 6 | Panama City | 🇵🇦 Panama | |
| 7 | Belo Horizonte | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 8 | Caracas | 🇻🇪 Venezuela | |
| 9 | São Paulo | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 10 | San José | 🇨🇷 Costa Rica |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Many-Banded Daggerwing sighting in Serra dos Órgãos National Park on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 83rd most-seen of the 117 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report a Many-Banded Daggerwing in Serra dos Órgãos National Park on a given day, against under 5% in February and May–December, the lowest months.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Many-Banded Daggerwing sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
21st of 26
Of the 26 parks where we can rate Many-Banded Daggerwing sightings, Serra dos Órgãos National Park ranks 21st at about 10%. The best odds are in Iguazú National Park (Argentina, about 30%), Cuyabeno Wildlife Reserve (Ecuador, about 30%) and Biotopo Cerro Cahuí (Guatemala, about 30%).
Same genus: Marpesia
The closest relatives of the Many-Banded Daggerwing that you can see in Serra dos Órgãos National Park (genus Marpesia, Daggerwings) are Ruddy Daggerwing (about 20%) and Waiter Daggerwing (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Many-Banded Daggerwing is recorded against all the insects logged in Serra dos Órgãos National Park (5 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
